Author: Howard Scott

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Slack News Fortnight

Obviously It’s been anything but a slack fortnight at the office. With 5 major events occurring, which have repercussions for investors, I thought it would be best to wait until all 5 unknowns were in before I commented. Individually, each of these domestic and international geo-political events will shape how we manage our investment portfolios and how we help clients plan their finances, both now and into the future.

Plan | Save | Grow | Spend | Gift | Pass

But firstly I would like to extend our condolences to the families of the two clients we suddenly lost this week. After almost 38 years building long-term client relationships it’s inevitable that some must come to an end. Currently we are helping the families of 8 of our clients who have passed away in recent months.

Hopefully our previous financial planning and long-term client relationships will help at this difficult time.

The 5 known unknowns

“There are known knowns, things we know that we know; and there are known unknowns, things that we know we don’t know. But there are also unknown unknowns, things we do not know we don’t know.”

Donald Rumsfeld – United States Secretary of Defense.

Two weeks ago we knew there was a UK budget to come, a new Conservative leader to be chosen, a new President of the US, a further interest rate decision to be made in the US and also an interest rate decision due from the Bank of England. All those changes would move both domestic and global shares in some way. Some outcomes were expected, some were binary decisions which were too close to call and some were just plain unexpected.

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Investors in the Cross Hairs

We ended our previous blog with:

 If tax concessions are taken from one area they will seek others. Expect to see changes brought in concurrently to limit ISA contributions and increase the rates of Capital Gains Tax to investments outside of ISAs. The subject for next time.

So as promised here is my take on the increase in Capital Gains Tax and the decrease/capping of an individuals ISA allowance.

Currently there is no CGT on ISA or Pension investments, we expect that to remain the same. This blog is really only of interest if you hold excess investments in a General Account outside of your ISAs & Pensions. If you do not have a General Account there is no need to read on, unless you are interested. The rest of you can get back to what you were doing before this blog interrupted you.

Increase in Capital Gains Tax

We have left this blog quite late, with the Autumn Budget just 48 hours away now, but we have been waiting to see if any clearer information surrounding tax rates would be “leaked”.

Investment capital gains have always been taxed at a lower rate than earned and unearned income. That differential is about to become closer, or indeed fully closed, with maybe even a doubling of the rate of tax. Basic rate tax-payers currently are charged 10% on the gain achieved from holding investments (higher for property gains) Our worst expectations are that this could be increased to 20%. For higher rate tax-payers, their current 20% rate could be raised to 40%.

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Pension Theft

With the first Labour budget a little over a month away we can now begin to see the public relations playbook hasn’t changed much with the new administration. Why would it? Much of the Socialist Civil Service remains in place. Ideas are leaked to assess the likely response of the middle class. The “painful” budget that Rachel Thieves Reeves is likely to deliver will undoubtedly affect the attractiveness of pensions as a tax efficient savings vehicle, both now and into the future.

Luxury Beliefs

A luxury belief is an idea or opinion that confers status on members of the upper class at little cost, while inflicting costs on persons in lower classes. The term is often applied to privileged individuals who are seen as disconnected from the lived experiences of impoverished and marginalised people. – Wikipedia

Ms Reeves was born in 1979, which means she is at least 12 years away from being able to access the sort of pension savings we all hold, even if she had some herself. This Labour administration is about to plunder a rich seam of savings that won’t affect them. Many “hard-working families” (sounding like a politician myself now) have spent decades building up this form of life savings and will rely on these savings for the rest of their lives. With a quick scan of Wikipedia I can also deduce that she can afford to make sweeping changes to defined-contribution pensions (the type we have) because she is unlikely to have anything but defined-benefit pensions herself. Neither is her Civil Service husband likely to be affected.

Sir Keir Starmer has also faced criticism for benefiting from a special pension scheme during his time as Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) from 2008 to 2013. His pension is “tax-unregistered,” meaning that it is not subject to the Lifetime Allowance (LTA) cap, which normally limits the amount one can save in a pension without facing additional tax charges. This scheme was introduced by the government and mirrors arrangements available to judges, intended to prevent an exodus of senior public figures from the judiciary.

One rule for us, one rule for the elite. Luxury beliefs.

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